Climate Prediction Using RNN LSTM to Estimate Agricultural Products Based on Koppen Classification

Novia Andini, Wiranto Herry Utomo

Abstract


The yield of an agricultural process is very important and influential, where the harvest is used as a support for human life both as food and a source of income. Many factors can influence the success of agriculture, such as the climate that is going on around in the surrounding area. The wrong prediction in determining the future climate will cause crop failure due to incompatibility with the type of plant. In this era, many technologies have been able to predict climate, one of which is technology machine learning that has many types and techniques, which machine learning technology has been widely used in predicting many things. This study aims to predict the climate in an area which is intended to determine crop yields based on the Koppen classification, and also the prediction based on several parameters such as temperature, humidity, duration of sun exposure and rainfall. And the results of this study is have a loss of 0.006 and with the MAPE value as an indicator of the percentage error and as an indicator for determining the accuracy of the prediction results, which is 3.29%, which means that it is included in the very accurate category in predicting climate to estimate agricultural yields.


Keywords


Climate Prediction, Long Short Term Memory (LSTM), Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), Koppen Classification

Full Text:

PDF

References


Abbas, Z., Al-Shishtawy, A., Girdzijauskas, S., & Vlassov, V. (2018). Short-Term Traffic Prediction Using Long Short-Term Memory Neural Networks. 2018 IEEE International Congress on Big Data (BigData Congress), 57-65.

Adedeji, O., Reuben, O., & Olatoye, O. (2014). Global Climate Change. Journal of Geoscience and Environment Protection(2), 114-122.

Beck, H., Zimmermann, N. E., McVicar, T., & Vergopolan, N. (2018). Present and Future Köppen-Geiger climate Classification Maps at 1-Km Resolution.

Chenn, D., & Chen, H. W. (2013). Using the Koppen Classification to Quantify Climate Variation and Change: An Example for1901–2010. Environmental Development, 63-79.

Rippke, U., Ramirez-Villegas, J., Jarvis, A., & Vermeulen, S. J. (2016). Timescales of transformational climate change adaptation in Sub-Saharan African agriculture . Nature Climate Change.

Feng, Q. Y., Vasile, R., Segond, M., Gozolchiani, A., Wang, Y., Abel, M., . . . Dijkstra1, H. A. (2016). ClimateLearn: A Machine-Learning Approach for Climate Prediction Using Network Measures. Geosci Model Dev Discuss.

Salman, A. G., Heryadi, Y., Abdurahman, E., & Suparta, W. (2018). Weather Forecasting Using Merged Long Short-term Memory Model . Bulletin of Electrical Engineering and Informatics, 7(3), 377-385

Fente, D. N., & Singh, D. K. (2018). Weather Forecasting Using Artificial Neural Network . 2nd International Conference on Inventive Communication and Computational Technologies (ICICCT).

Huang, Y. (2019). A Prediction Scheme for Daily Maximum and Minimum Temperature Forecasts Using Recurrent Neural Network and Rough set. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science ICAESEE.

Jahan, I., Sajal, S. Z., & Nygard, K. E. (2019). Prediction Model Using Recurrent Neural Networks . IEEE International Conference on Electro Information Technology (EIT).

Jin, J., Li, M., & Jin, L. (2015). Data Normalization to Accelerate Training for Linear Neural Net to Predict Tropical Cyclone Tracks. Mathematical Problems in Engineering, 8.

Kaunang, F. J., Rotikan, R., & Tulung, G. S. (2018). Pemodelan Sistem Prediksi Tanaman Pangan Menggunakan Algoritma Decision Tree . Cogito Smart Journal, vi(1).

Khaki, S., Wang, L., & Archontoulis, S. V. (2019). A CNN-RNN Framework for Crop Yield Prediction. Frontiers in Plant Science, x.

Kumar, N., Kaur, G., & Aditi. (2017). Wind Speed Prediction using Neural Network . International Journal of Advanced Production and Industrial Engineering IJAPIE-SI-IDCM , 608, 36-41.

Liu, Y., Wang, Y., Yang, X., & Zhang, L. (2017). Short-Term Travel Time Prediction by Deep Learning: A Comparison of Different LSTM-DNN Models. 2017 IEEE 20th International Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITSC).

Mahalingam, U., Elangovan, K., Dobhal, H., Valliappa, C., Shrestha, S., & Kedam, G. (2019). A Machine Learning Model for Air Quality Prediction for Smart Cities. 2019 International Conference on Wireless Communications Signal Processing and Networking (WiSPNET).

Mubyarto. (1989). Ekonomi pertanian. Jakarta: LP3ES.

Naveen Kumar Arora. (2019). Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture Production and Its Sustainable Solutions. Environmental Sustainabilit(2), 95-96.

Nilsson, & J, N. (2015). Introduction to Mechine Learning. Standford University.

Nilsson, N. J. (2015). Introduction to Machine Learning




DOI: https://doi.org/10.31326/jisa.v4i2.911

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


Copyright (c) 2021 Novia Andini

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.


JOURNAL IDENTITY

Journal Name: JISA (Jurnal Informatika dan Sains)
e-ISSN: 2614-8404, p-ISSN: 2776-3234
Publisher: Program Studi Teknik Informatika Universitas Trilogi
Publication Schedule: June and December 
Language: Indonesia & English
APC: The Journal Charges Fees for Publishing 
IndexingEBSCODOAJGoogle ScholarArsip Relawan Jurnal IndonesiaDirectory of Research Journals Indexing, Index Copernicus International, PKP IndexScience and Technology Index (SINTA, S4) , Garuda Index
OAI addresshttp://trilogi.ac.id/journal/ks/index.php/JISA/oai
Contactjisa@trilogi.ac.id
Sponsored by: DOI – Digital Object Identifier Crossref, Universitas Trilogi

In Collaboration With: Indonesian Artificial Intelligent Ecosystem(IAIE), Relawan Jurnal IndonesiaJurnal Teknologi dan Sistem Komputer (JTSiskom)

 

 


JISA (Jurnal Informatika dan Sains) is Published by Program Studi Teknik Informatika, Universitas Trilogi under Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.